Select a specific statement made by Kahneman and use one of the supplemental readings to help you analyze and explain what Kahneman means.
Kahneman says that “We had made up a story from the little we knew … When you know as little as we did, you should not make extreme predictions” (217). This is shown throughout Leonhardt’s essay. He says that people take statistics in the form of a percentage and then round it to 0 or 100%, either it will surely happen or it won’t. Kahneman explains this idea when he describes how the military people were observed in a single situation and, from that outcome, it was determined that they would either be good or bad candidates for an officer position. Generally, Kahneman argues that people take a small amount of information and apply it to a variety of situations in order to form an opinion on a subject and, from there, they resist change or new information. One way this could be changed is by, as Leonhardt suggests, teaching people to look further into statistics or observations and consider both sides of the issue. People need to be educated on how to move past their original, fast-thinking ideas and slow down to think logically.
